Donald Trump's arrival at The White House has probably sparked more debate and column inches than the entirety of his predecessor's reign. Not a day goes by without some kind of Trump controversy. For the bookies this is good news as it offers them the chance to create multiple markets on his presidency. Paddy Power/Betfair are even seeking a Head of Trump Betting!
There's plenty for the Head of Trump Betting to get their teeth into. Let's start with the market that many would expect to see first: Impeachment! You can currently get 11/10 that Trump will be impeached by a House of Representatives vote in his first term. You can also get 3/1 that any impeachment will be in 2017.
If Trump survives 2017 then the odds of impeachment dramatically change. He's 9/1 for 2018, 16/1 for 2019 and 20/1 to follow in the footsteps of President Nixon in 2020. But what could be impeached for? You'll get 3/1 for tax evasion, 10/1 for bribery, 12/1 for perjury and 16/1 for treason. Disappointingly there are no odds available for "just being a bad at the job".
Russia has played a starring role in US political affairs lately. You can currently get 7/1 if the FBI "confirm that they have evidence of collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government to influence the result of the 2016 US Presidential election". Charges must be brought against Trump's team for the bet to stand.
Nobel Peace Prize!
If you fancy a long shot then you can also get 25/1 on Putin and Trump being named joint winners of The Nobel Peace Prize. This has to be for this year though! If Trump survives his first year in office then we think the odds for this could come down during his remaining term. Stranger things have happened - like the guy off The US Apprentice being elected President.
Trump's Foreign policy is also under the spotlight! To be honest these aren't the best markets in our view. For example you can get 50/1 that Trump will sue Paddy Power - the same odds for Trump visiting North Korea. The most nailed on bet within all these markets is the 1/5 that construction of a wall dividing the entire border between Mexico and the USA will begin.
Of course many of these markets, along with the Head of Trump Betting role are gimmicks for Paddy Power. However such is the nature of the current POTUS that it's hard not to be worried about whether some of these fun bets actually come to fruition.
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